Bonds are breaking and the Darkish Ticker simply paid out.
The ten-year Treasury climbed to its highest degree in a yr, and final week’s bond selloff was the worst because the April 2025 tariff panic.
Conflict-elevated vitality costs are protecting inflation sticky, and Moody’s US credit score downgrade piled on when bond markets had been already stretched skinny.
I’ve been watching this setup construct for weeks.
The market has run onerous off the April 2025 lows, and a bond market promoting off whereas equities sit close to latest highs is precisely what exhaustion appears like earlier than a pullback.
I believe we’ve reached a near-term high.
Nevertheless, that didn’t cease me from shopping for the Russell 2000 ETF (IWM). And I’ll clarify why shortly.
IWM closed at $273.07, down 1% on the day, and the Darkish Ticker sign fired at 4:00 PM.
The alert went out: Purchase the IWM Might twenty second 272 Calls within the subsequent quarter-hour.
This morning, IWM pushed above $278.
The exit alert adopted: Promote at $3.30 or above.
The “or above” half is essential… as a result of some members rang the register for as much as 120% on one other in a single day Darkish Ticker winner.
The Math That Makes This Work
One query drives the Darkish Ticker sign: did the market drop 1% or extra? When the reply is sure, the information dictates what comes subsequent.
When the market drops 1% or extra in a session, it rebounds the next day 88% of the time. For drops of two% or extra, that rebound charge climbs to 92%.
Over the previous 30 years, each drop of 5% or extra has been adopted by a restoration the following buying and selling day.
Establishments use sharp down days to rebalance and add to positions at higher costs.
Their shopping for creates the upward strain that follows, and zero-day choices on IWM give us the leverage to seize that window with a fraction of the capital a inventory place requires.
The Observe Document
The Darkish Ticker has produced 95 trades since inception with a 70.53% win charge. In 2026, that win charge has climbed to 78.95% throughout 19 trades with a median return of 27.07% per commerce.
Some members made 52%, even 120%, in lower than 24 hours this morning:
To place that into perspective, the common Darkish Ticker Commerce has outperformed the S&P 500 three-fold YTD.
Thus far in Might, we’re 5 for 5 in profitable trades like this. And belief me, we’re simply getting began.
A run like this isn’t luck… it’s technique.
YOUR ACTION PLAN
The situations creating Darkish Ticker setups aren’t going away anytime quickly.
Bond yields are elevated, inflation is sticky, and a market exhibiting exhaustion close to latest highs is precisely the sort of surroundings that produces extra 1% down days.
The sign is a mechanical one.
When the set off fires, I ship the entry worth, the execution window, and the exit goal. The place is closed inside 24 hours.
So, whereas I believe traders ought to be involved concerning the market general, merchants ought to be opportunistic, particularly on setups just like the Darkish Ticker.
If you wish to be positioned for the following commerce, that you must preserve an eye fixed out for one thing BIG coming subsequent week…
I’ll present you precisely learn how to reap the benefits of my in a single day trades.
Keep tuned.