From my perspective, what we’re seeing proper now is just not a market that’s making ready for the subsequent main leg increased throughout the board, however one that’s quietly flashing late-cycle alerts. When a number of topping indicators start to align, momentum begins to stall, and sentiment turns into one-sided, historical past reveals that threat is rising, not falling. That is typically the part the place capital begins rotating aggressively between property fairly than lifting all the pieces collectively, which is why volatility tends to extend, and surprises catch traders off guard.
In environments like this, defending capital and respecting exit alerts turns into way more vital than chasing power. Belongings resembling gold, silver, miners, and even Bitcoin can nonetheless present spectacular momentum bursts, however these strikes incessantly happen close to the later levels of a cycle and are sometimes adopted by sharp corrections. Bond yields and leveraged merchandise are additionally sending vital alerts, suggesting that the market could also be nearer to a reset than most headlines suggest. As at all times, the purpose is to not predict the long run, however to remain aligned with what worth, development, and capital flows are telling us proper now.
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The matters David and I mentioned embrace:
- 0:00 – Intro.
- 1:15 – Topping indicators
- 3:02 – Metals and a correction
- 5:35 – Rotation
- 10:23 – Gold and silver momentum
- 14:09 – Bitcoin and Gold
- 17:44 – Miners and exit technique
- 21:53 – Convention sentiment examine and leveraged merchandise
- 24:16 – Bond yields pointing towards 8.3% and asset rotation technique
Chris Vermeulen
Chief Funding Officer
TheTechnicalTraders.com
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