The world awoke immediately, Sunday, March 1, 2026, to a geopolitical panorama that has shifted irrevocably. Following the huge joint U.S.-Israeli strikes on Saturday, Operation Epic Fury has achieved its first seismic goal: Iranian state media has confirmed the loss of life of Supreme Chief Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.
As merchants, we should analyze the price-time vibration of this disaster. Whether or not you might be holding Nifty futures or managing a Gann-based portfolio, the following 48 hours are essential.
Right here is the timeline of the escalation from 2024 to the present disaster:
That can assist you refine your weblog submit for brameshtechanalysis.com, listed here are the precise dates and important particulars for the foremost navy and geopolitical occasions from 2024 to 2025.
2024: The Finish of the Shadow Conflict
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April 1, 2024 — The Set off: Israel performed an airstrike on the Iranian consulate in Damascus, Syria. The strike killed 16 folks, together with Brigadier Basic Mohammad Reza Zahedi, a senior Quds Power commander, and 7 different IRGC officers.
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April 13–14, 2024 — Operation True Promise I: Iran launched its first-ever direct assault on Israel from Iranian soil. The barrage included roughly 170 drones, 30+ cruise missiles, and 120+ ballistic missiles.
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April 18–19, 2024 — Israel’s Response: Israel performed a restricted retaliatory strike close to Isfahan, Iran, concentrating on an air protection radar website guarding the Natanz nuclear facility.
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July 31, 2024 — Assassination of Ismail Haniyeh: The political chief of Hamas was assassinated in Tehran at roughly 2:00 AM native time, simply hours after attending the inauguration of Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian.
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September 27, 2024 — Assassination of Hassan Nasrallah: Israel launched a large airstrike on Hezbollah’s underground headquarters in Beirut, Lebanon, killing the group’s long-time chief, Hassan Nasrallah.
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October 1, 2024 — Operation True Promise II: In retaliation for the deaths of Haniyeh and Nasrallah, Iran launched practically 200 ballistic missiles (together with hypersonic Fattah missiles) at Israel, concentrating on the Mossad HQ and Nevatim Airbase.
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October 26, 2024 — Israel’s Retaliation: Israel launched “exact and focused” airstrikes (Operation Days of Repentance) towards Iranian missile manufacturing websites and aerial defenses in three waves.
2025: “The 12-Day Conflict” and Direct Battle
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June 13, 2025 — Begin of the 12-Day Conflict: Following months of rising friction, Israel launched huge, coordinated strikes on over 100 Iranian navy and nuclear services in cities like Tehran, Mashhad, and Isfahan.
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June 22, 2025 — U.S. Intervention: The USA formally entered the conflict, deploying bunker-buster bombs (GBU-57) towards fortified nuclear websites at Natanz and Fordow.
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June 24, 2025 — The Qatar Strike & Ceasefire: Iran fired missiles on the Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar (the most important U.S. base within the area) to drive a halt. A fragile, U.S.-brokered ceasefire went into impact hours later.
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July – December 2025 — Degradation of Proxies: All through the latter half of 2025, Israel intensified its “mow the grass” technique, systematically dismantling the command buildings of Hezbollah in Lebanon and the Houthis in Yemen.
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Late 2025 — Strait of Hormuz Disaster: Iran elevated its naval harassment of world tankers, resulting in a everlasting “Conflict Threat” premium in Brent crude costs, which hit a flooring close to $75 by the top of the yr.
Why Iran Attacked Bahrain, Qatar, and the UAE
In a swift retaliatory transfer, Iran’s Revolutionary Guard (IRGC) launched “Operation Truthful Promise 4,” firing dozens of ballistic missiles and drones at U.S. bases and allies throughout the Gulf.
The Rationale Behind the Retaliation:
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Neutralizing the fifth Fleet: Iran focused Bahrain as a result of it hosts the U.S. Navy’s fifth Fleet. Bahrain’s protection forces intercepted 45 missiles and 9 drones, however the message was clear: no base is secure.
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Al Udeid Base, Qatar: As house to the most important U.S. airbase within the area, Qatar grew to become a main goal. Iran views any strike launched from these bases as an act of warfare by the host nation.
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The UAE Financial Shock: Shrapnel from a missile interception killed one civilian within the UAE. By forcing explosions over Dubai and Abu Dhabi, Iran is signaling that the Center East’s “Protected Havens” for international capital are actually within the line of fireplace.
The Conflict Standing: Operation Epic Fury & The Fall of Tehran
Early on February 28, the USA launched “Operation Epic Fury,” whereas Israel concurrently initiated “Operation Roaring Lion.” This coordinated blitz focused the center of the Iranian regime.
Key Army Developments:
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Decapitation Strikes: Enormous explosions rocked Tehran, particularly concentrating on the presidential palace and the Supreme Chief’s compound. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu confirmed the operation aimed to “take away the existential risk.”
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Concentrating on the Nuclear Core: Fight operations targeted on dismantling Iran’s missile business and nuclear infrastructure in Isfahan, Qom, and Karaj.
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The Regime Change Agenda: President Trump, in a historic deal with, urged the Iranian folks to “take over your authorities,” promising that that is “in all probability your solely probability for generations.”
The Subsequent 48 Hours: A Disaster Administration Plan from World Leaders
The subsequent 48 hours are ruled by a “Most Strain” directive from Washington and a “Chain of Occasions” warning from the UN.
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Trump’s Ultimatum: President Trump has issued a 48-hour deadline for IRGC personnel to give up or “face sure loss of life.” Count on intense cyber-warfare to blackout Iran’s grid earlier than any floor motion.
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UN Emergency Assembly: Secretary-Basic António Guterres has warned of an uncontrollable escalation, however with the U.S. and Israel dedicated to regime change, diplomacy is at present taking a backseat to firepower.
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Evacuation & Logistics: Count on the Indian authorities to prioritize the security of the diaspora in Bahrain and Qatar, doubtlessly impacting home sentiment as “Vande Bharat” model missions are mentioned.
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