You understand that feeling whenever you get up and instantly test your cellphone?
This morning was a kind of days the place checking paid off large time.
Yesterday QQQ closed down 1.2%. That triggered my Darkish Ticker sign at 4:05 PM. I purchased calls expiring at present, shut my laptop computer, and went about my night.
This morning I opened my buying and selling app to an attractive 60% winner staring again at me. Amazon’s earnings blowout dragged the entire tech sector larger in a single day.
That brings us to 18 winners out of 29 Darkish Ticker trades in 2025.
Operating at a stable 62% win price this 12 months.
The Technique’s Actual Observe Report
Let me provide the trustworthy numbers on Darkish Ticker efficiency. No BS, no inflated stats – simply the actual outcomes.
2025 Efficiency (Via October thirty first):
- Complete trades: 29
- Winners: 18
- Win price: 62.07%
This month alone we’ve hit 4 winners out of 6 trades. October’s operating at 66.67%, which is fairly rattling good for short-term choices performs.
Since Inception Stats:
- Complete trades: 70
- Winners: 47
- Win price: 67.14%
- Common return: 9.39%
Look, not each commerce hits. However whenever you’re batting .670 over 70 trades, the maths works in your favor. Huge time.
What Really Occurred Yesterday
Thursday afternoon was ugly. Tech was getting hammered going into earnings. Everybody was nervous about Amazon, Apple, and all the massive names reporting this week.
Proper earlier than the shut, QQQ hit my -1% set off. That’s when the Darkish Ticker technique kicks in robotically.
The foundations are easy. When any main index (SPY, QQQ, IWM, DIA, or GLD) closes down 1% or extra, we purchase calls that expire the following day. Zero emotion, zero guesswork.
Following the systematic method that has delivered 67% wins since inception.
So at 4:05 PM yesterday I grabbed QQQ calls expiring at present. Small place, about $493 price.
The Stunning Half
Right here’s what I really like about this commerce – I had zero clue Amazon was going to utterly crush earnings.
Didn’t must know.
Whereas everybody else was sweating over whether or not AWS would hit their cloud numbers, I used to be already positioned for the bounce.
Not as a result of I’m some genius who predicted Amazon’s monster quarter. As a result of when markets drop 1% or extra, establishments step in and purchase the dip.
Amazon’s 10% hole up this morning was simply the cherry on prime. My calls went from in a single day holds to 60% winners by 9:45 AM.
Ring the register, proper?
Why The Math Works
This isn’t some get-rich-quick scheme. It’s a scientific method based mostly on how large cash truly strikes.
When the market drops 1%, pension funds see shopping for alternatives. Hedge funds deploy money they’ve been sitting on.
ETF rebalancing kicks in. All that institutional shopping for stress creates predictable bounces.
We simply place ourselves to journey that wave with small choice positions that may ship 40%, 50%, 60% good points in a single day.
The Actual Energy
Since inception, we’ve averaged 9.39% per commerce throughout all 70 positions. That features the losers.
Take into consideration that for a second. Even with 23 dropping trades combined in, the typical remains to be practically 10% per commerce. The winners greater than make up for the losses.
And we’re not speaking about holding shares for months or years. These are in a single day holds. Out and in in lower than 24 hours.
October’s Been Stable
This month we’ve had 6 triggers and caught 4 winners. The 2 losers weren’t killers – simply small losses when the bounce didn’t materialize.
However the 4 winners? They’ve been stunning. Together with this morning’s 60% pop.
YOUR ACTION PLAN
November and December are traditionally sturdy months for this technique. Finish-of-year rebalancing, vacation positioning, a lot of institutional cash motion.
Each market drop of 1% or extra provides us one other shot at that 67% win price.
Could possibly be subsequent week with all of the earnings volatility nonetheless coming. Could possibly be subsequent month when the Fed meets once more.
However when it occurs, you’ll know precisely what to do.
Purchase the calls after the shut. Log out. Get up to income.
18 out of 29 occasions this 12 months, that’s precisely what’s occurred.
The technique’s not good. But it surely’s worthwhile. And on this recreation, that’s all that issues.
Maintain these alerts on.
The following set off is coming.
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FUN FACT FRIDAY
Amazon’s shares are nonetheless cooking at ~$246 (up 10.6% intraday, market’s obtained until 4 PM ET to celebration), all due to AWS hitting 20% development—its hottest streak for the reason that pre-pandemic glory days.
Not the record-breaker (Feb ’22’s 14% blast-off owns that), however this $255B market cap surge? Straight-up sufficient dough to purchase out three full-on Costcos, scorching canine carts and all.